He rarely chases and spoils lots of well-executed pitches, grinding away at opposing pitchers. 16NC StateACC5NC28242525 His walk rates reached career highs despite facing upper-level pitching for the first time in his life, and Meads underlying chase data (only 24%) was better than the big league average (33%). Copyright 2023 Baseball America Enterprises. Prospect status is a factor, to be sure, but this list strives to be much more than that. Keith was in the AFL because he missed all but about two months of the regular season with a shoulder injury. Jones had surgery, missed the back half of the summer and instructs, and only began hitting again in January. Wood was a divisive amateur prospect, with some scouts seeing him as a center fielder with 70 raw power projection and others seeing him as an eventual first baseman with hit tool risk. There was some worry that Carroll wouldnt be quite the same player when he returned, but he quickly allayed those concerns by dominating the upper minors as soon as the 2022 starter pistol fired, notching an amazing 53 extra-base hits in just 91 Double- and Triple-A games before he slashed .260/.330/.500 during a September big league call-up. He signed for $5.1 million in 2019 as easily the toolsiest player in his signing class, a plus-plus running center fielder with huge switch-hitting power. The identifiable visual tweak to the swing, the shift in batted ball profile, and Batys dramatic uptick in home runs are all indications that hes dialed in the details that have kept him vacillating between several FV tiers for the last couple of years. The compact nature of Carrolls body and swing gives him a little extra time and distance to diagnose pitches, and his strength makes him a threat to do damage on the ones that he lets travel deep into the hitting zone. There have been prior instances of prospects, including Mike Trout and Buster Posey, who had a terrible Fall League coming off a long year simply because they were tired and then rebounded the following season. His pitch efficiency has been ludicrous and actually got better in 2022, when he walked just 6% of opposing batters. Whitaker went for both length and quality against Wagner, lasting seven innings and not allowing a run, striking out three. Whites stuff continues to shine when hes healthy, which is especially impressive given the amount of time hes lost. His desert lethargy was understandable, but its still the most recent thing the industry has seen. He tore up Low-A, slashing .354/.443/.557 with a 12% walk rate and an 18% strikeout rate over the course of April and May before earning a promotion in early June. Abel will also flash a really good changeup once in a while; that pitch tends to be in the 86-89 mph range and feasts on hitters who have to cheat to catch up to his fastball. He had a somewhat rocky first full season in pro ball, running a FIP near 5.00 across 18 starts with Lakeland before finishing up with three fair outings at Western Michigan. Surprisingly, there's quite a lot of agreement between the ZiPS list and the FanGraphs list at the top of the pitching ranks. Miller spent his freshman year at Blinn College, then pitched out of the Texas A&M bullpen as a sophomore and junior. Hes as likely to make an incredible play as he is to botch a routine one. The 20-year-old finished the season having performed exactly at the Double-A league average over his 86 games there despite being about four years younger than the average player at that level. DI baseball news. 25 Last Week: 4-0 Overall: 7-0, 0-0 in ACC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 22: @ Coastal Carolina: W 16-4 Feb. 24-26: Belmont: W 11-4, W 7-0, W 7-1 Upcoming Feb. 28: Longwood March 1: Radford March 3-5: New Jersey TechNC State took care of business with a sweep of Belmont. Hope that his many late-bloomer characteristics (multi-sport, Northeast background, reps lost due to a 2019 knee surgery and then the pandemic) would lead to an eventual breakout in the power department buoyed his draft stock into the middle of the first round. His 2022 line (.263/.339/.459) was solid if unspectacular, though some of the reduction from his performance in 2021 is simply due to exiting the Cal League for the more muted offensive environment in the Northwest. He has a big frame, a mature approach, and a left-handed stroke so gorgeous that its now rumored to be dating Pete Davidson. Quickly thereafter he was at Triple-A Norfolk and looked like the usual DL Hall, wielding three plus pitches and struggling with walks. Lesko hasnt thrown a pro pitch yet due to TJ rehab, but his changeup and pre-injury velocity and fastball playability demand he be one here toward the back. He still has two years before he technically has to be added to the 40-man, and theoretically the Phillies could use all that runway to keep developing him as a starter in the hopes that things click, but going on age 24 that feels like a bit of a pipe dream. lvarez has plenty of arm strength and will sometimes pop below 1.80 seconds (seriously) now that hes gotten better at starting to exit his crouch before the pitch has reached him, or just cutting it loose from his knees when thats not feasible. Mauricio has developed as well as could have been rationally hoped when he signed. 71Long Beach StateBig West4CA7-8633978 That isnt consistent with his career performance: Jungs 2021 chase rate, per Synergy, was just 24%, and that exploded to 37% in 2022. Its long been seen as a potential, maybe even an obvious move, due to both Soderstroms below-average defense as a backstop, and as a way of protecting his offensive performance from the dings and scratches that are part and parcel with everyday catching. Through five games, Caglianone is slugging .938 and popped two bombs, and figured to be a huge part of this Gators team in 2023. There Painter showed more refinement, incorporating a handful of changeups into his outings and displaying an ability to vary breaking ball shape in different situations. He struggles to set up his slider with well-located fastballs, and even when he does its not a given that hell land the slider after its been set up. His changeup flashed plus in the Fall League, where he carried that good health and momentum and posted a 10.8 K/9. Tradition is nice, but its more important to establish a tradition of consistent winning in the last decade, and especially in the last five years. Volpes game power should routinely put him in the mix for All-Star teams for as long as he stays on the middle infield, and hell still be a productive everyday player if he moves later in his career. Indeed, his arm will certainly keep him at shortstop, as he demonstrated when he seized the spotlight at the 2022 Futures Game by recording the fastest ever throw across the infield since such measurements have existed, at 100.5 mph. The Rays gave him a $2.3 million bonus to keep him from heading to Cal and have developed him solely at short. This years 60 FV tier has some players who still show some hit tool red flags (Chourio, De La Cruz, Jones) that kept them from ever really being considered for the tier above. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastballs viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties allows the whole mix to play up. Lefthander/first baseman Jac Caglianone homered three times in Sundays winwhich he started on the moundand he now is hitting .414/.485/1.069 with six home runs and has struck out 15 batters in 11.1 innings. His plus velocity and uphill approach angle make Halls fastball extremely difficult for hitters to get on top of, and righty batters who are trying to anticipate the heater often end up embarrassing themselves against his changeup, which generated a whopping 54% whiff rate in 2022. The swing particulars of an 18-year-old arent especially important, and Colliers skill set gives him star-level ceiling, this is just a specific, key area to be sensitive to as he develops. To say he looks like a steal is a drastic understatement at this point, as he is one of the most exciting young hitters in the minors, with elite power potential and superlative on-paper performance at Double-A throughout 2022, all while he was still not old enough to have a beer. Jacksonville March 3-5: (10) MiamiFlorida took care of business with a sweep of Cincinnati, outscoring the Bearcats, 42-16. Cartaya had a whopping 41% hard-hit rate in 2022, which is already better than that of the average big league starting catcher (hes 21! Johnson often ends his swing with his torso having made a full 180 degree rotation, sometimes swinging with such ferocious bat speed that he loses his balance and faceplants in the batters box. His stuff is more comparable to the 50 FV starters on this list, but his command should allow him to work more efficiently and eat more innings than most of that group. Teams 71-80 For the purpose of this exercise, we dont care what happened in the 1970s or 80s, or even the 90s thats ancient history to a potential recruit in 2022. Still, Chourio has big-ceiling company in that part of the leaderboard names like Byron Buxton and Adolis Garca are down there, and Julio Rodrguez isnt far away. Previous ranking: No. 11Texas A&MSEC7TX20111014 The bumps and bruises that come with catching 100 games often make it tough for catchers to sustain peak offensive performance, and Cartaya hasnt been exposed to that yet. Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. Given that injury has always been the primary concern for Cavalli, the way his season ended is a letdown after a couple years of exciting progress. 2022 Top 100 Midseason Prospects Reports Live Looks . Collier walked a unique amateur path en route to a signing bonus as large and impressive as his power and arm strength. After sustaining an arm injury during spring training, Miller spent most of 2022 rehabbing. He doesnt have traditional long-term power projection, but hes already so powerful that if all the pop Domnguez ever has is what hes working with now, it will still be plenty for him to be a good everyday big leaguer for as long as hes a center fielder. The other biggest climbers are Virginia Tech (up 45 spots), Louisiana Tech (up 43), Maryland (up 33) and Oregon (up 26). He blew triple-digits at the top of the zone past batters at every stop, with his fastball averaging 99 mph at Triple-A. He slashed .287/.388/.476 at High-A in 2022 and hit 43 extra-base hits during the year, but Carters game is much more about soft skills than premium tools. 5 Last Week: 3-2 Overall: 5-3, 0-0 in SEC (3-2 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: Central Arkansas: L 5-4 Feb. 22: Alabama-Birmingham: W 13-1 Feb. 24-26: vs. (13) UCLA: W 6-0, L 3-0, W 2-1 Upcoming Feb. 28: Austin Peay State Cambria College Classic (Minneapolis) March 3: vs. Nebraska March 4: vs. (17) Maryland March 5: @ Minnesota After getting upset Tuesday in its home opener by Central Arkansas, Vanderbilt bounced back and scored a big series win against UCLA. Hences fastball will be elite if he can sustain mid-to-upper-90s velocity across starters innings, which he hasnt yet had to do. 40. Youve probably seen big league hitters use a toe tap, or heard broadcasters use that phrase. Senga has added four ticks to his fastball since debuting in NPB. He has the prototypical starters frame at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6, and the pacing and look of his delivery evoke Gerrit Cole. But more than that, he seems to have a knack for the clutch hit and seems more comfortable in those big moments than just about any other college hitter. He rocketed through Arizonas system in 2021, making brief stops at both A-ball levels before closing the season with six starts for Double-A Amarillo, where he then spent most of 2022 dominating to the tune of a 32% K% and 4% BB% before a late promotion to Reno. He only averaged 91-94 mph during the 2019 season, but he has been parked in the 94-97 range since that 20 instructs period. Even though he has no defensive position (Buschs issues at second base go beyond just range, and he isnt a fit there no matter what the rules around shifting are), he is one of the more well-rounded near-ready bats in the minors and could play an integral role for the Dodgers in 2023, though the addition of J.D. Hes performed as a young-for-the-level hitter at each stop despite a raw approach at the plate and uncertainty around his defense, with his third base fit in question due to middling arm strength. 66UNC WilmingtonCAA1NC7-20464848 He was back in 2022 long enough to make his major league debut, but re-tore his ACL in late May and will be out until later this summer. 19Oklahoma StateBig 124OK1-1172119 So are his reads and routes in center field, which he runs well enough to play right now. Previous ranking: No. Its prudent to bake this context into how one thinks about Marte, but there are also some statistical yellow flags evident in his regular season performance as well as some harsh realities to come to grips with regarding his trajectory on defense. Carter has plus soft skills but doesnt have the power for stardom. RHP Brendan Girton The third-year right-hander lasted six innings out of relief for Texas Tech on Saturday, striking out six and allowing just three baserunners. 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